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gyrene ●
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foxnewsdude2 said...
I follow as much as I can, but a lot of you gents are really knowledgable in recruiting.
What is your prediction? Who will we end up with come next signing day? ( assuming everyone committed now sticks)...
Please list. I'm sure there are names out there I don't know.
Enjoy your weekend! And thanks.
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foxnewsdude2 said...
Genius.
Suck it.
I'm just trying to have some conversation with other Sooner fans....not people who think they're a "genius".
I'm surprised you've lowered yourself enough to be among us mere mortals on the board.
Funny. I know you wouldn't say this to me to my face. You're really enlightened, I'm vert impressed. Go back to campaigning for gay marriage for you and your partner.
This post was edited by OUGenius on 6/24/2012 at 12:15 PM
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SoonerBlub said...
The question isn't stupid, it's asked all the time. That's one of the things the board is about.
Usually, it's fairly easy to come up with a handful of guys you feel pretty good about, and then a few more guys that are a decent chance. This year is completely different. OU isn't making the huge push in texas that they usually do, and there isn't an instate player who's taking his time but everyone knows he'll choose OU in the end. They've gone much more national this year, and a lot of early possibilities have either committed elsewhere or OU has dropped a little on their list. The wr Treadwell is a great example of a guy that OU was strong with early, but the tornado threats kept him from coming in for a visit during jr day, and really hurt the Sooners, because he's now been to michigan a bunch and they are in the lead for him.
With 11 commits, they're now in that spot where they don't seem to be obvious leaders for anyone on their board, so it's going to be surprises, new guys we don't know so much about yet, and a couple of jucos. The main thing to look for is if any more of these offers in california or florida commit, because they have really gone all in on those guys and they need to hit on a few.
With that said, I think Manning and Kenny Lacy are good bets to be on the final list.
All of this, of course, imho.
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chemalum77 said...
Scout List
Rk. School Commits Conf. Points Avg. 1 Michigan 22 Big Ten 4206 191 2 Texas A&M 21 SEC 3199 152 3 Texas 15 Big 12 2766 184 4 Notre Dame 14 Indep 2708 193 5 Alabama 18 SEC 2609 145 6 Florida 18 SEC 2596 144 7 USC 10 Pac-12 2556 256 8 Georgia 19 SEC 2554 134 9 Ohio State 12 Big Ten 2305 192 10 Auburn 13 SEC 1848 142 12 Oklahoma 11 Big 12 1742 158
Based on total points calculated for number of stars. Who knows how the points are allocated. USC has more 5 and 4 star commitments than anyone but the always have the next Paris Hilton in line to help recruit. Very glamorous to be a USC football player in Hollywood.
OU has several 4 star player and 3 star players and not a 5 star yet, depending on the recruiting service. Why people worry about this so much really does a allude me but hey I'm a player too but I put little stock in the recruiting serivces because Boise and TCU and other schools that almost never sniff a 5 star player do OK. OU has had several busts with 5 star guys.
Based on this though and the average number of stars and what ever number the deviners of this list came up with up, OU is number 7 but with only 11 commits the lowest on the list with the exception of USC at 10 (how do they do it? See Hollywood comment above). It would seem, that at the end of recruiting season next Feb. A full 8 months away, if OU just continues on the current track, they'll end up with a top 10 class and I submit based on the current snapshot that there won't be a fly's eyelash between any of the top ten.
What does all this mean right now? NOTHING!
This is where the worriers go to sleep. Go to the OU Home page and scroll down and you will see the 247 Current List by rank. OU is 18 (behind such notables as Baylor, A&M and Vanderbilt (OU is sucking now))-If you only look at the total points. However, if you look at the devined average, OU is number 8 - not so awful a vacuum now, huh?
Now if you took the time to take the total points in the Insider List and divided by the number of players committed OU is number 2 behind USC. Trust me or not. Are you worriers asleep yet? If not, what does it all mean right now? Nothing unless you happen to be the 16 schools behind USC and OU. And, I'll say this again. At this point, there isn't an eyelash difference right now and it should hold through the recruiting year but OU right now is in great shape. After USC, OU has the fewest commits but as they pile up, OU should finish in the top 5 or so like almost all years.
Hope you had a good nap. I did!
And after sleeping on it, I came up with this question. Each rating service has a limited number of 5 star, 4 star and 3 star players. So, does that mean the last 5 star player is significantly better than the 1st star player? Or, is the mid pack 5 star that much better than a mid pack 4 star or 4 to 3 star for that matter? Just by looking at the stars of the players on any of the lists, Scouts's, ESPN, Insider's, any of them without knowing where the player falls within his respective "star" category you really can't make much of a judgement, For instance is the top 5 star that much better than the bottom 5 star? That's what's wrong with all of these rating systems, what happens at the borders between the stars?
For RIVALS: A five-star prospect is considered to be one of the nation's top 25-30 players, four star is a top 250-300 or so player, three-stars is a top 750 level player, two stars means the player is a mid-major prospect and one star means the player is not ranked.
See the point! The sample is so small at the top compared to the bottom it's almost meaningless. And, if the player is a four star and he commits to Texas, USC or ND, he's very likely to be moved from 4 to 5 or 3 to 4.
Would you rather have the top 3 star at position 301 or the one at 750? Think there is a difference? I do. And yet they both have 3 stars!
Now I am officially bored.
arkansasoufan
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pantheraonca
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pantheraonca said...
The question I think is how Bob responds to the learning he had over the last year. And clearly there were issues with some "star" guys. It doesn't matter how many stars a guy, or program has, if they are trouble in locker room, on the field, or off the field. I think Bob(and I know Mike and Tim feel this) want kids who will work extremely hard grow as men and football players. So, you may see more "three stars" on this team than in the past-but guys who will put the work in and off the field. Hopefully, lesson learned.
I do think that Mike, Tim and Shipp will bring in some JUCO's as well. There are still some "holes" in this team, and depending on the performance in August you may see Mike go after at least 1 JUCO LB, I JUCO safety, and certainly Shipp is planning to as well at DT. Depends on who they can get. Depth is the issue-but there is no panic.I also think that OU may also bring in a JUCO TE and 1 JUCO OL as well, depending on August practices and early season performances.
Canyoneer
SoonerPeace
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SoonerPeace said...
You can't make a living with 3 stars and jucos. I also don't think they can make a living recruiting so much outside our region. I think taking advantage of inroads we have made in Florida and So Cal are great but I hope the time spent is spent wisely and not at the expense in Texas. Our Texas concentration in rapport with the high school coaches and reputation is at a low ebb right now. I have been encouraged lately by the increased Texas offers. We can't lose our position as the number 2 wanted scholarship in Texas. We all know several players in Texas right now only care about a Horn offer. But we need to not lose the top leftovers to Baylor and A&M. Baylor for the first time in forever took a player that Texas wanted. If they can do it we sure as heck can. Name the last player Texas offered we took from them? I know they have traditionally won most of the recruiting battles but I liked it better when we snagging the Bomars,AD's,and Malcom Kelly's away from Texas. That just hasn't happened for awhile.
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SoonerPeace
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SoonerPeace said...
You can't make a living with 3 stars and jucos. I also don't think they can make a living recruiting so much outside our region. I think taking advantage of inroads we have made in Florida and So Cal are great but I hope the time spent is spent wisely and not at the expense in Texas. Our Texas concentration in rapport with the high school coaches and reputation is at a low ebb right now. I have been encouraged lately by the increased Texas offers. We can't lose our position as the number 2 wanted scholarship in Texas. We all know several players in Texas right now only care about a Horn offer. But we need to not lose the top leftovers to Baylor and A&M. Baylor for the first time in forever took a player that Texas wanted. If they can do it we sure as heck can. Name the last player Texas offered we took from them? I know they have traditionally won most of the recruiting battles but I liked it better when we snagging the Bomars,AD's,and Malcom Kelly's away from Texas. That just hasn't happened for awhile.
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What do YOU think the 2013 Class Will Look Like?